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The Global Potential of Bioenergy on Abandoned Agriculture Lands
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Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution of Washington.
, ‡Department of Biological Sciences, Stanford University.
, §Program on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University.
Abstract
Converting forest lands into bioenergy agriculture could accelerate climate change by emitting carbon stored in forests, while converting food agriculture lands into bioenergy agriculture could threaten food security. Both problems are potentially avoided by using abandoned agriculture lands for bioenergy agriculture. Here we show the global potential for bioenergy on abandoned agriculture lands to be less than 8% of current primary energy demand, based on historical land use data, satellite-derived land cover data, and global ecosystem modeling. The estimated global area of abandoned agriculture is 385−472 million hectares, or 66−110% of the areas reported in previous preliminary assessments. The area-weighted mean production of above-ground biomass is 4.3 tons ha−1 y−1, in contrast to estimates of up to 10 tons ha−1 y−1 in previous assessments. The energy content of potential biomass grown on 100% of abandoned agriculture lands is less than 10% of primary energy demand for most nations in North America, Europe, and Asia, but it represents many times the energy demand in some African nations where grasslands are relatively productive and current energy demand is low.
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History
- Published In Issue August 01, 2008
- Article ASAPJune 25, 2008
- Received: January 7, 2008
Revised: April 7, 2008
Accepted: May 22, 2008
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