Global warming will hurt poor countries the most
New research focuses on agricultural productivity in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
India could see a drop in agricultural productivity of 30–40% by 2080, according to a study published by two research groups, the Center for Global Development and the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
William Cline, author of Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country, finds that temperature rises initially will increase productivity in several developed countries. But that boost will decline in the latter half of the century, and several African countries will see agricultural productivity potential decline by more than half. Globally, productivity will decline 25% on average, he estimates. "Because future warming depends on greenhouse gas emissions today, if we delay action, it would put global agriculture on an inexorable trajectory to serious damage," Cline writes.
