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Impacts of Ship Emissions on Air Quality in Southern China: Opportunistic Insights from the Abrupt Emission Changes in Early 2020

  • Xu Feng
    Xu Feng
    John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, United States
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  • Yaping Ma
    Yaping Ma
    National Meteorological Information Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
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  • Haipeng Lin
    Haipeng Lin
    John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, United States
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  • Tzung-May Fu*
    Tzung-May Fu
    Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Precision Measurement and Early Warning Technology for Urban Environmental Health Risks, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Guangdong Provincial Observation and Research Station for Coastal Atmosphere and Climate of the Greater Bay Area, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Shenzhen National Center for Applied Mathematics, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Science at SUSTech (COAST), Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    *Email: [email protected]. Phone: + 86 (755)88018872.
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  • Yan Zhang
    Yan Zhang
    Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
    More by Yan Zhang
  • Xiaolin Wang
    Xiaolin Wang
    Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
    More by Xiaolin Wang
  • Aoxing Zhang
    Aoxing Zhang
    Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Precision Measurement and Early Warning Technology for Urban Environmental Health Risks, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    More by Aoxing Zhang
  • Yupeng Yuan
    Yupeng Yuan
    Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
    More by Yupeng Yuan
  • Zimin Han
    Zimin Han
    Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
    More by Zimin Han
  • Jingbo Mao
    Jingbo Mao
    Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention (LAP3), National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China
    More by Jingbo Mao
  • Dakang Wang
    Dakang Wang
    School of Geography and Remote Sensing, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, China
    More by Dakang Wang
  • Lei Zhu
    Lei Zhu
    Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Precision Measurement and Early Warning Technology for Urban Environmental Health Risks, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Guangdong Provincial Observation and Research Station for Coastal Atmosphere and Climate of the Greater Bay Area, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    More by Lei Zhu
  • Yujie Wu
    Yujie Wu
    School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544, United States
    More by Yujie Wu
  • Ying Li
    Ying Li
    Department of Ocean Sciences and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Science at SUSTech (COAST), Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
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  • , and 
  • Xin Yang
    Xin Yang
    Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Precision Measurement and Early Warning Technology for Urban Environmental Health Risks, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    Guangdong Provincial Observation and Research Station for Coastal Atmosphere and Climate of the Greater Bay Area, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
    More by Xin Yang
Cite this: Environ. Sci. Technol. 2023, 57, 44, 16999–17010
Publication Date (Web):October 19, 2023
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c04155
Copyright © 2023 American Chemical Society

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    Supporting Info (1)»

    Abstract

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    In early 2020, two unique events perturbed ship emissions of pollutants around Southern China, proffering insights into the impacts of ship emissions on regional air quality: the decline of ship activities due to COVID-19 and the global enforcement of low-sulfur (<0.5%) fuel oil for ships. In January and February 2020, estimated ship emissions of NOx, SO2, and primary PM2.5 over Southern China dropped by 19, 71, and 58%, respectively, relative to the same period in 2019. The decline of ship NOx emissions was mostly over the coastal waters and inland waterways of Southern China due to reduced ship activities. The decline of ship SO2 and primary PM2.5 emissions was most pronounced outside the Chinese Domestic Emission Control Area due to the switch to low-sulfur fuel oil there. Ship emission reductions in early 2020 drove 16 to 18% decreases in surface NO2 levels but 3.8 to 4.9% increases in surface ozone over Southern China. We estimated that ship emissions contributed 40% of surface NO2 concentrations over Guangdong in winter. Our results indicated that future abatements of ship emissions should be implemented synergistically with reductions of land-borne anthropogenic emissions of nonmethane volatile organic compounds to effectively alleviate regional ozone pollution.

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    The Supporting Information is available free of charge at https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.3c04155.

    • Additional tables and figures showing emission profiles of NMVOCs from ships, monthly land-borne anthropogenic emissions over Southern China and their differences between early 2019 and early 2020, monthly container throughput in PRD ports, comparison of observed and simulated surface pollutant concentrations over Southern China, nested domains used for WRF-GC simulations, spatial distributions of ship emissions in early 2019 and early 2020, simulated and observed tropospheric NO2 column concentrations, and simulated impacts of ship emission changes on surface pollutant concentrations in Guangdong cities (PDF)

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