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Modeling Ozone in the Eastern U.S. using a Fuel-Based Mobile Source Emissions Inventory

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    Modeling Ozone in the Eastern U.S. using a Fuel-Based Mobile Source Emissions Inventory
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    • Brian C. McDonald*
      Brian C. McDonald
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
      *Phone: (303) 497-5094; e-mail: [email protected]
      More by Brian C. McDonald
      Orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0001-8600-5096
    • Stuart A. McKeen
      Stuart A. McKeen
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
      More by Stuart A. McKeen
    • Yu Yan Cui
      Yu Yan Cui
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
      More by Yu Yan Cui
    • Ravan Ahmadov
      Ravan Ahmadov
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Global Systems Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Si-Wan Kim
      Si-Wan Kim
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Gregory J. Frost
      Gregory J. Frost
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Ilana B. Pollack
      Ilana B. Pollack
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Jeff Peischl
      Jeff Peischl
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Thomas B. Ryerson
      Thomas B. Ryerson
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • John S. Holloway
      John S. Holloway
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Martin Graus
      Martin Graus
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Carsten Warneke
      Carsten Warneke
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Jessica B. Gilman
      Jessica B. Gilman
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    • Joost A. de Gouw
      Joost A. de Gouw
      Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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      Orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-0385-1826
    • Jennifer Kaiser
      Jennifer Kaiser
      Department of Chemistry, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, United States
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    • Frank N. Keutsch
      Frank N. Keutsch
      Department of Chemistry, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, United States
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    • Thomas F. Hanisco
      Thomas F. Hanisco
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Dynamics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland 20771, United States
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    • Glenn M. Wolfe
      Glenn M. Wolfe
      Atmospheric Chemistry and Dynamics Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland 20771, United States
      Joint Center for Earth Systems Technology, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, Maryland 21228, United States
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    • Michael Trainer
      Michael Trainer
      Chemical Sciences Division, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado 80305, United States
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    Environmental Science & Technology

    Cite this: Environ. Sci. Technol. 2018, 52, 13, 7360–7370
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    https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b00778
    Published June 5, 2018
    Copyright © 2018 American Chemical Society
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    Abstract

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    Recent studies suggest overestimates in current U.S. emission inventories of nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2). Here, we expand a previously developed fuel-based inventory of motor-vehicle emissions (FIVE) to the continental U.S. for the year 2013, and evaluate our estimates of mobile source emissions with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s National Emissions Inventory (NEI) interpolated to 2013. We find that mobile source emissions of NOx and carbon monoxide (CO) in the NEI are higher than FIVE by 28% and 90%, respectively. Using a chemical transport model, we model mobile source emissions from FIVE, and find consistent levels of urban NOx and CO as measured during the Southeast Nexus (SENEX) Study in 2013. Lastly, we assess the sensitivity of ozone (O3) over the Eastern U.S. to uncertainties in mobile source NOx emissions and biogenic volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions. The ground-level O3 is sensitive to reductions in mobile source NOx emissions, most notably in the Southeastern U.S. and during O3 exceedance events, under the revised standard proposed in 2015 (>70 ppb, 8 h maximum). This suggests that decreasing mobile source NOx emissions could help in meeting more stringent O3 standards in the future.

    Copyright © 2018 American Chemical Society

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    Supporting Information

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    The Supporting Information is available free of charge on the ACS Publications website at DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.8b00778.

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    Cited By

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    This article is cited by 66 publications.

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    Cite this: Environ. Sci. Technol. 2018, 52, 13, 7360–7370
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