110th Anniversary: Evaluation of CO2-Based and CO2-Free Synthetic Fuel Systems Using a Net-Zero-CO2-Emission Framework
- Daniel SutterDaniel SutterInstitute of Process Engineering, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse 3, 8092 Zurich, SwitzerlandMore by Daniel Sutter
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- Mijndert van der SpekMijndert van der SpekInstitute of Process Engineering, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse 3, 8092 Zurich, SwitzerlandMore by Mijndert van der Spek
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- Marco Mazzotti*Marco Mazzotti*E-mail: [email protected]Institute of Process Engineering, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse 3, 8092 Zurich, SwitzerlandMore by Marco Mazzotti
Abstract

This work analyzes quantitatively the energy and exergy efficiencies of storing intermittent renewable energy in chemical fuels. In the future energy system, chemical fuels provide a very effective approach for long-term storage and long-distance transport of renewable electricity. For the sake of completeness and simplicity, we consider both carbon-free fuels, namely, hydrogen and ammonia, and carbon-rich fuels, i.e., methane and methanol, synthesized using CO2 as the precursor. The latter are called CCU fuels as they constitute an application of CO2 capture and utilization (CCU), which is often advocated to be an effective approach toward climate change mitigation (though no consensus exists). Instead of focusing on the CO2 conversion step, we apply a system-oriented perspective, grounded in the net-zero-CO2-emission framework, to quantify merits and drawbacks. In such a framework, we consider eight systems and technology chains where, in the spirit of a circular economy, the only input is renewable electricity and the only output is a service, consisting in delivering either electricity to the grid on demand (power–fuel–power) or a fuel to propel a means of transportation (power–fuel–propulsion); no fossil carbon is used, and no net CO2 release to the atmosphere occurs. Providing the service of storing renewable electricity in chemical fuels obviously results in a loss of primary energy, which differs in the eight cases considered, depending on the chemical nature of the chemical fuel and on the number and efficiency of the individual steps to synthesize them. Power–CCU fuel–power systems exhibit an energy loss from 65% to 86%, whereas the energy loss of power–CCU fuel–propulsion systems increases to 83–94%. The energy loss of the corresponding systems using ammonia as fuel is similar, whereas that obtained when using hydrogen is significantly smaller, namely, 50–65% and 57–69% in the power–fuel–power and the power–fuel–propulsion case, respectively. Compared to hydrogen, the other energy carriers suffer from increased system complexity and consequently lower efficiency. Exergy analysis has shown low efficiency improvement potential for especially the fuel synthesis step, while the other steps in the chain (electrolysis, extraction from air of CO2 or nitrogen, fuel utilization, and associated compression) still exhibit higher improvement potentials.
1. Introduction
2. Net-Zero-CO2 World and Net-Zero-CO2 CCU Fuel Systems
Figure 1

Figure 1. Representation of possible technology chains yielding linear or circular economies, in a net-positive, net-zero, or net-negative CO2-emission system. (16,23) The representation includes fossil-based systems, CCU-fuel-based systems, and bioenergy-based systems. Process units include conventional postcombustion CO2 capture; direct capture of CO2 from air (DAC, requiring C-free renewable energy to operate); biomass conversion plants; CO2 conversion, including an electrolyzer for H2 generation and a collector of C-free renewable electricity (the stylized yellow spark). Arrows represent material fluxes (equipped with storage capacity) of fossil (from the subsurface, red), synthetic (from a conversion plant, blue), biogenic (from biomass, green), or oxidized (CO2, dark gray) carbon. The ultimate CO2 fate can be either release to the atmosphere (light gray cloud) or storage in the subsurface (stylized anticline aquifer).
Figure 2

Figure 2. Block diagram of the power–fuel–power systems investigated: (a) hydrogen, (b) methane, (c) methanol, and (d) ammonia. The blocks include their corresponding pressure levels, energy efficiency, and second-law (exergy) efficiency, and CO2 capture rate in the case of the power plants. The systems’ cyclic efficiency is given in the upper left corners. The supply of electricity to the fuel synthesis and to the DAC/N2-separation units is not represented in the figure for the sake of clarity. For methanol, the source of the CO2 and H2O emissions is the combustion of a purge stream containing CO2 and CO. In the case of methane, the water is a byproduct of the Sabatier reaction and the CO2 is part of the unreacted feed. These are minor streams but are included in the figure for completeness. The abbreviated fuel-to-power conversion plants are hydrogen solid oxide fuel cell (H2SOFC) and gas turbine combined cycle (GTCC). See Figure 3 for the corresponding power–fuel–propulsion chains.
3. Methods
3.1. Technology Assessment Using a Net-Zero-CO2-Emission Framework
1. | Defining the functional unit (or the key product) that the system provides, which is good practice in techno-economic and environmental analysis of energy systems. | ||||
2. | Drafting a system diagram of the CO2-positive base system and identifying where in this system there are direct CO2 emissions. | ||||
3. | Introducing measures/technologies to return the CO2 emissions back to the system, thus closing the carbon loop. | ||||
4. | Calculating performance indicators, which can be the typical technical, economic, or environmental indicators; in this work, we consider only technology first-law and second-law efficiencies, i.e., only technical indicators. | ||||
5. | Assessing and comparing the results, i.e., interpreting the calculated indicators and comparing them to alternative systems to gain insight in the relative performance of different options. |
3.2. Case Studies
3.3. System Design and Infrastructure Requirements
Concurrent operation of fuel synthesis and final power generation: this strategy minimizes the need for fuel and CO2 storage, while hydrogen storage is needed as it effectively bridges the time between RE input and electricity generation. Such operation however foregoes the advantage of the synthetic fuels over H2 in terms of specific volumetric energy density. It also requires the synthesis plant to run as flexibly as the power plant, which may be unwanted from a plant performance and from a capital cost recovery perspective.
Synchronizing the operation of electrolysis and fuel synthesis: this strategy minimizes the need for H2 storage, as H2 is directly converted to fuel. However, large-scale storage both of the synthetic fuel and of CO2 (since the GTCC power plant with CO2 capture operates asynchronously to the electrolyzer) is required as a consequence, and the same operational and economic issues of flexible operation of the synthesis plant arise.
Fully independent operation of the fuel synthesis plant, either maximizing its capacity factor or operating it flexibly; this strategy requires storage of significant amounts of H2, of synthetic fuel and, for carbon-based fuels, of CO2.
Figure 3

Figure 3. Block diagram of the four power–fuel–propulsion systems investigated: (a) hydrogen, (b) methane, (c) methanol, and (d) ammonia. The blocks include their corresponding pressure levels, energy efficiency, and second-law (exergy) efficiency and CO2 capture rate in the case of the power plants. The systems’ cyclic efficiency is given in the upper left corners. The supply of electricity to the fuel synthesis and to the DAC/N2-separation units is not represented in the figure for the sake of clarity. The pressure indicated in the final conversion blocks represents the vehicle’s tank. For methanol, the source of the CO2 and H2O emissions is the combustion of a purge stream containing CO2 and CO. In the case of methane, the water is a byproduct of the Sabatier reaction and the CO2 is part of the unreacted feed. These are minor streams but are included in the figure for completeness. The abbreviated fuel-to-propulsion technologies are hydrogen polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell (H2PEMFC), internal combustion engine (ICE), and direct methanol fuel cell (DMFC).
3.4. Thermodynamic Analysis Assumptions
3.4.1. Building Blocks
building block | electricity input requirement (MWh/t product) | heat input requirement (MWh/t product) | conversion efficiency (LHV) (%) | data source |
---|---|---|---|---|
direct air capture | 0.25 | 1.750 | manufacturer estimatea | |
fuel synthesis methanol | 0.169 | 0.439 | modeling studyb | |
fuel synthesis methane | 0.33 | –3.008 | pilot plantc | |
fuel synthesis ammoniab | 0.03 | 0 | modeling studyd | |
N2 production (air separation unit) (45) | 0.02 | 0 | manufacturer datae | |
H2 compression from 30 to 700 bar | 23 | Aspen Plus modelf | ||
CH4 compression from 8 to 66 bar | 1.78 | Aspen Plus modelf | ||
CH4 compression from 66 to 250 bar | 0.89 | Aspen Plus modelf | ||
H2 production (electrolysis at 30 bar) | 70 | literature and manufacturer datag | ||
H2 PEM FC | 60 | manufacturer datah | ||
direct methanol FC | 35 | prototype and modeling studyi | ||
H2 SOFC | 61 | manufacturer data and modeling studyj | ||
GTCC w/o CO2 capture | 59 | modeling study based on vendor datak | ||
GTCC with CO2 capture | 51 | modeling study based on vendor datak | ||
fuel conversion methane ICE | 22 | manufacturer data/US EPA driving cycle testl | ||
fuel conversion ammonia ICE | 22 | prototype | ||
subcritical steam cycle efficiency | 30 | modeling studym | ||
biomass power plant with CCS | 28 | modeling studyn | ||
biomass power plant without CCS | 38 | modeling studyn | ||
charger/inverter | 95 | modeling studyo | ||
battery | 95 | modeling studyo | ||
electric drive | 90 | modeling studyp | ||
hydrogen-fired boiler | 85 | manufacturer dataq |
Climeworks estimate. (30)
Values used from the process modeling study by Pérez-Fortes et al., (5) based on the process by Van-Dal and Bouallou. (32)
Compression energies were taken from Aspen Plus, using a 72% isentropic efficiency. An eight-stage integrally geared compressor with intercooling to 35 °C was assumed for H2 and CH4 compression to propulsion pressures.
An electrolyzer efficiency of 70% was used on the basis of refs (8and27) where Siemens reports a 75% efficiency of their largest electrolyzer model. (47,48) Late 2000 to early 2010 vendor inquiries by NREL indicate LHV efficiencies between 61% and 66%. (49,50) A 70% LHV efficiency corresponds to an electricity demand of 48 MWh/t_H2.
Manufacturer data as collected by the US DOE. (44)
Based on DMFC prototypes and modeling studies. (33,34,51)
Based on the modeling study in ref (43); manufacturer data collected by the US DOE states efficiencies of 60%. (44)
Modeling study based on gas turbine and CO2 capture plant data from vendors. (29)
Data from car manufacturers and US EPA was used for midrange ICE vehicles running on natural gas. (52)
Based on a modeling study by DOE/NETL, reported in Schakel et al. (55)
Using modeling assumptions reported by Van Vliet et al. (56)
Values used from a modeling study by Pellegrino et al. (57)
Manufacturer data from Cleaver Brooks. (58)
3.4.2. Pressure Levels
gas | pressure (bar) | corresponding density (kg·m–3) |
---|---|---|
hydrogen | 30 | 2.4 |
CO2 | 150 | 876 |
N2 | 100 | 113 |
methane | 66 | 48 |
methanol | 1 | 790 |
ammonia | 10 | 603 |
Note that when hydrogen or methane are used for propulsion, they are pressurized at the filling station to pressures of 700 and 250 bar, respectively.
3.5. Efficiency Analysis


3.6. Second-Law Analysis



3.7. Sensitivity Analysis
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Primary Energy Loss over the Power–Fuel–Power Chains
Figure 4

Figure 4. Waterfall diagrams of power–methane–power (a) and power–methanol–propulsion (b).
Figure 5

Figure 5. Breakdown of primary renewable power losses and resulting cycle efficiencies to produce 1 GW of power and/or propulsion (using DAC for the CCU fuel systems). The darkest color represents the relative energy output of each chain. H2 compression occurs only in the hydrogen for propulsion chain, where additional compression is required after electrolysis. “Air separation” indicates the efficiency loss related to DAC for the CCU fuels and to N2 separation for ammonia. “Air separation” and “fuel synthesis” do not occur in the hydrogen chains. Of the chemical energy carriers, hydrogen has the highest cycle efficiency, especially when providing propulsion in a transport application. The biggest losses are incurred in all systems in the electrolysis and fuel combustion steps, not in the fuel synthesis step. For the CCU propulsion cases, these losses are complemented with a large loss for direct air capture of CO2.
4.2. Primary Energy Loss over the Power–Fuel–Propulsion Chains
4.3. Analysis of Efficiency Improvement Potential by Exergy Analysis
Figure 6

Figure 6. Comparison of the second-law efficiency of each system block and of its contribution to the efficiency loss for the power–fuel–power systems. The graph shows that the synthesis step of the synthetic fuels is already highly efficient, as shown by the high second-law efficiency. Fuel synthesis however has only a small impact on the cyclic efficiency loss over the overall system. Electrolysis and fuel combustion in a GTCC (with or without CCS) contribute much more to the overall cyclic efficiency loss, and they still exhibit quite some room for efficiency improvement, especially fuel combustion. DAC shows the highest potential for second-law improvement but has the lowest contribution to the cyclic efficiency loss.
4.4. Discussion
Figure 7

Figure 7. Sensitivity of net system efficiency to changes in electrolysis, DAC/ASU, fuel synthesis, and fuel conversion. The second column from the left indicates how the input parameters were varied, represented on a 0–100% scale where possible. The resulting range of chain efficiencies is reported on the right with the middle line representing the base case. The input parameter assumptions are given as efficiency for electrolysis and final conversion and as an energy requirement for DAC/ASU. For fuel synthesis, see the corresponding text.
5. Conclusions
Supporting Information
The Supporting Information is available free of charge on the ACS Publications website at DOI: 10.1021/acs.iecr.9b00880.
Additional remarks about the second-law efficiency analysis; waterfall diagrams of the power–methanol–power, power–ammonia–power, power–methane–propulsion, and power–ammonia–propulsion systems (PDF)
Terms & Conditions
Most electronic Supporting Information files are available without a subscription to ACS Web Editions. Such files may be downloaded by article for research use (if there is a public use license linked to the relevant article, that license may permit other uses). Permission may be obtained from ACS for other uses through requests via the RightsLink permission system: http://pubs.acs.org/page/copyright/permissions.html.
ASU | air separation unit |
BECC | bioenergy and CO2 capture |
CCS | CO2 capture and storage |
CCU | CO2 capture and utilization |
CNG | compressed natural gas |
DAC | direct air capture (of CO2) |
DACCS | direct air capture and CO2 storage |
DMFC | direct methanol fuel cell |
GTCC | gas turbine combined cycle |
ICE | internal combustion engine |
LCA | life cycle analysis |
LHV | lower heating value |
MeOH | methanol |
OCGT | open cycle gas turbine |
PCC | postcombustion capture (of CO2) |
PEM | polymer electrolyte membrane |
PEMFC | polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell |
RE | renewable electricity |
SOFC | solid oxide fuel cell |
References
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13https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2cXotVant7Y%253D&md5=e1dd6b563443ca4522e314c5c4c70334Energy and climate impacts of producing synthetic hydrocarbon fuels from carbon dioxidevan der Giesen, Coen; Kleijn, Rene; Kramer, Gert JanEnvironmental Science & Technology (2014), 48 (12), 7111-7121CODEN: ESTHAG; ISSN:0013-936X. (American Chemical Society)A review. Within the context of carbon dioxide (CO2) utilization there is an increasing interest in using CO2 as a resource to produce sustainable liq. hydrocarbon fuels. When these fuels are produced by solely using solar energy they are labeled as solar fuels. In the recent discourse on solar fuels intuitive arguments are used to support the prospects of these fuels. This paper takes a quant. approach to investigate some of the claims made in this discussion. We analyze the life cycle performance of various classes of solar fuel processes using different primary energy and CO2 sources. We compare their efficacy with respect to carbon mitigation with ubiquitous fossil-based fuels and conclude that producing liq. hydrocarbon fuels starting from CO2 by using existing technologies requires much more energy than existing fuels. An improvement in life cycle CO2 emissions is only found when solar energy and atm. CO2 are used. Producing fuels from CO2 is a very long-term niche at best, not the panacea suggested in the recent public discourse. - 14Fernández-Dacosta, C.; Van Der Spek, M.; Hung, C. R.; Oregionni, G. D.; Skagestad, R.; Parihar, P.; Gokak, D. T.; Strømman, A. H.; Ramirez, A. Prospective Techno-Economic and Environmental Assessment of Carbon Capture at a Refinery and CO2 Utilisation in Polyol Synthesis. J. CO2 Util. 2017, 21, 405– 422, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcou.2017.08.005[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar14https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXhtlOrs7%252FI&md5=6763ff7e2fe2b41ae0da90d78575b778Prospective techno-economic and environmental assessment of carbon capture at a refinery and CO2 utilisation in polyol synthesisFernandez-Dacosta, Cora; van der Spek, Mijndert; Hung, Christine Roxanne; Oregionni, Gabriel David; Skagestad, Ragnhild; Parihar, Prashant; Gokak, D. T.; Stroemman, Anders Hammer; Ramirez, AndreaJournal of CO2 Utilization (2017), 21 (), 405-422CODEN: JCUOAJ; ISSN:2212-9839. (Elsevier Ltd.)CO2 utilization is gaining interest as a potential element towards a sustainable economy. CO2 can be used as feedstock in the synthesis of fuels, chems. and polymers. This study presents a prospective assessment of carbon capture from a hydrogen unit at a refinery, where the CO2 is either stored, or partly stored and partly utilized for polyols prodn. A methodol. integrating tech., economic and environmental models with uncertainty anal. is used to assess the performance of carbon capture and storage or utilization at the refinery. Results show that only 10% of the CO2 captured from an industrial hydrogen unit can be utilized in a com.-scale polyol plant. This option has limited potential for large scale CO2 mitigation from industrial sources. However, CO2 capture from a hydrogen unit and its utilization for the synthesis of polyols provides an interesting alternative from an economic perspective. The costs of CO2-based polyol are estd. at 1200 euro/t polyol, 16% lower than those of conventional polyol. Furthermore, the costs of storing the remaining CO2 are offset by the benefits of cheaper polyol prodn. Therefore, the combination of CO2 capture and partial utilization provides an improved business case over capture and storage alone. The environmental assessment shows that the climate change potential of this CO2 utilization system is 23% lower compared to a ref. case in which no CO2 is captured at the refinery. Five other environmental impact categories included in this study present slightly better performance for the utilization case than for the ref. case.
- 15Dimitriou, I.; García-Gutiérrez, P.; Elder, R. H.; Cuéllar-Franca, R. M.; Azapagic, A.; Allen, R. W. K. Carbon Dioxide Utilisation for Production of Transport Fuels: Process and Economic Analysis. Energy Environ. Sci. 2015, 8 (6), 1775– 1789, DOI: 10.1039/C4EE04117H[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar15https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2MXosVKgt7w%253D&md5=cf535d745092ef07e1988935f38a9f5fCarbon dioxide utilisation for production of transport fuels: process and economic analysisDimitriou, Ioanna; Garcia-Gutierrez, Pelayo; Elder, Rachael H.; Cuellar-Franca, Rosa M.; Azapagic, Adisa; Allen, Ray W. K.Energy & Environmental Science (2015), 8 (6), 1775-1789CODEN: EESNBY; ISSN:1754-5706. (Royal Society of Chemistry)Utilizing CO2 as a feedstock for chems. and fuels could help mitigate climate change and reduce dependence on fossil fuels. For this reason, there is an increasing world-wide interest in carbon capture and utilization (CCU). As part of a broader project to identify key tech. advances required for sustainable CCU, this work considers different process designs, each at a high level of technol. readiness and suitable for large-scale conversion of CO2 into liq. hydrocarbon fuels, using biogas from sewage sludge as a source of CO2. The main objective of the paper is to est. fuel prodn. yields and costs of different CCU process configurations in order to establish whether the prodn. of hydrocarbon fuels from com. proven technologies is economically viable. Four process concepts are examd., developed and modelled using the process simulation software Aspen Plus to det. raw materials, energy and utility requirements. Three design cases are based on typical biogas applications: (1) biogas upgrading using a monoethanolamine (MEA) unit to remove CO2, (2) combustion of raw biogas in a combined heat and power (CHP) plant and (3) combustion of upgraded biogas in a CHP plant which represents a combination of the first two options. The fourth case examines a post-combustion CO2 capture and utilization system where the CO2 removal unit is placed right after the CHP plant to remove the excess air with the aim of improving the energy efficiency of the plant. All four concepts include conversion of CO2 to CO via a reverse water-gas-shift reaction process and subsequent conversion to diesel and gasoline via Fischer-Tropsch synthesis. The studied CCU options are compared in terms of liq. fuel yields, energy requirements, energy efficiencies, capital investment and prodn. costs. The overall plant energy efficiency and prodn. costs range from 12-17% and £15.8-29.6 per L of liq. fuels, resp. A sensitivity anal. is also carried out to examine the effect of different economic and tech. parameters on the prodn. costs of liq. fuels. The results indicate that the prodn. of liq. hydrocarbon fuels using the existing CCU technol. is not economically feasible mainly because of the low CO2 sepn. and conversion efficiencies as well as the high energy requirements. Therefore, future research in this area should aim at developing novel CCU technologies which should primarily focus on optimizing the CO2 conversion rate and minimising the energy consumption of the plant.
- 16Schlögl, R.; Abanades, C.; Aresta, M.; Azapagic, A.; Blekkan, E. A.; Cantat, T.; Centi, G.; Duic, N.; El Khamlichi, A.; Hutchings, G.; Mazzotti, M.; Olsbye, U.; Mikulcic, H. Novel Carbon Capture and Utilisation Technologies. Research and Climate Impacts; SAPEA: Brussels, 2018; DOI: 10.26356/CARBONCAPTURE .
- 17Walsh, B.; Ciais, P.; Janssens, I. A.; Peñuelas, J.; Riahi, K.; Rydzak, F.; Van Vuuren, D. P.; Obersteiner, M. Pathways for Balancing CO2 Emissions and Sinks. Nat. Commun. 2017, 8, 14856, DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14856[Crossref], [PubMed], [CAS], Google Scholar17https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXmtFCrur4%253D&md5=934a6f3de282a38c5c430e9440c65e0dPathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinksWalsh, Brian; Ciais, Philippe; Janssens, Ivan A.; Penuelas, Josep; Riahi, Keywan; Rydzak, Felicjan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Obersteiner, MichaelNature Communications (2017), 8 (), 14856CODEN: NCAOBW; ISSN:2041-1723. (Nature Publishing Group)In Dec. 2015 in Paris, leaders committed to achieve global, net decarbonization of human activities before 2100. This achievement would halt and even reverse anthropogenic climate change through the net removal of carbon from the atm. However, the Paris documents contain few specific prescriptions for emissions mitigation, leaving various countries to pursue their own agendas. In this anal., we project energy and land-use emissions mitigation pathways through 2100, subject to best-available parameterization of carbon-climate feedbacks and interdependencies. We find that, barring unforeseen and transformative technol. advancement, anthropogenic emissions need to peak within the next 10 years, to maintain realistic pathways to meeting the COP21 emissions and warming targets. Fossil fuel consumption will probably need to be reduced below a quarter of primary energy supply by 2100 and the allowable consumption rate drops even further if neg. emissions technologies remain technol. or economically unfeasible at the global scale.
- 18van Soest, H. L.; de Boer, H. S.; Roelfsema, M.; den Elzen, M. G. J.; Admiraal, A.; van Vuuren, D. P.; Hof, A. F.; van den Berg, M.; Harmsen, M. J. H. M.; Gernaat, D. E. H. J.; Forsell, N. Early Action on Paris Agreement Allows for More Time to Change Energy Systems. Clim. Change 2017, 144 (2), 165– 179, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2027-8[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar18https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXht1CnurbI&md5=6f6ca8a1d2c89a2b089fb7efdf1d88b3Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systemsvan Soest, Heleen L.; Sytze de Boer, Harmen; Roelfsema, Mark; den Elzen, Michel G. J.; Admiraal, Annemiek; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Hof, Andries F.; van den Berg, Maarten; Harmsen, Mathijs J. H. M.; Gernaat, David E. H. J.; Forsell, NicklasClimatic Change (2017), 144 (2), 165-179CODEN: CLCHDX; ISSN:0165-0009. (Springer)The IMAGE integrated assessment model was used to develop a set of scenarios to evaluate the Nationally Detd. Contributions (NDCs) submitted by Parties under the Paris Agreement. The scenarios project emissions and energy system changes under (i) current policies, (ii) implementation of the NDCs, and (iii) various trajectories to a radiative forcing level of 2.8 W/m2 in 2100, which gives a probability of about two thirds to limit warming to below 2 °C. The scenarios show that a cost-optimal pathway from 2020 onwards towards 2.8 W/m2 leads to a global greenhouse gas emission level of 38 gigatonne CO2 equivalent (GtCO2eq) by 2030, equal to a redn. of 20% compared to the 2010 level. The NDCs are projected to lead to 2030 emission levels of 50 GtCO2eq, which is still an increase compared to the 2010 level. A scenario that achieves the 2.8 W/m2 forcing level in 2100 from the 2030 NDC level requires more rapid transitions after 2030 to meet the forcing target. It shows an annual redn. rate in greenhouse gas emissions of 4.7% between 2030 and 2050, rapidly phasing out unabated coal-fired power plant capacity, more rapid scale-up of low-carbon energy, and higher mitigation costs. A bridge scenario shows that enhancing the ambition level of NDCs before 2030 allows for a smoother energy system transition, with av. annual emission redn. rates of 4.5% between 2030 and 2050, and more time to phase out coal capacity.
- 19Millar, R. J.; Fuglestvedt, J. S.; Friedlingstein, P.; Rogelj, J.; Grubb, M. J.; Matthews, H. D.; Skeie, R. B.; Forster, P. M.; Frame, D. J.; Allen, M. R. Emission Budgets and Pathways Consistent with Limiting Warming to 1.5 °C. Nat. Geosci. 2017, 10, 741– 748, DOI: 10.1038/ngeo3031[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar19https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXhsFWgtLrP&md5=e4149699fa76ccce22165c53c255f0b9Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°CMillar, Richard J.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Rogelj, Joeri; Grubb, Michael J.; Matthews, H. Damon; Skeie, Ragnhild B.; Forster, Piers M.; Frame, David J.; Allen, Myles R.Nature Geoscience (2017), 10 (10), 741-747CODEN: NGAEBU; ISSN:1752-0894. (Nature Research)The Paris Agreement has opened debate on whether limiting warming to 1.5°C is compatible with current emission pledges and warming of about 0.9°C from the mid-nineteenth century to the present decade. We show that limiting cumulative post-2015 CO2 emissions to about 200 GtC would limit post-2015 warming to less than 0.6°C in 66% of Earth system model members of the CMIP5 ensemble with no mitigation of other climate drivers, increasing to 240 GtC with ambitious non-CO2 mitigation. Assuming emissions peak and decline to below current levels by 2030, and continue thereafter on a much steeper decline, which would be historically unprecedented but consistent with a std. ambitious mitigation scenario (RCP2.6), results in a likely range of peak warming of 1.2-2.0°C above the mid-nineteenth century. If CO2 emissions are continuously adjusted over time to limit 2100 warming to 1.5°C, with ambitious non-CO2 mitigation, net future cumulative CO2 emissions are unlikely to prove less than 250 GtC and unlikely greater than 540 GtC. Hence, limiting warming to 1.5°C is not yet a geophys. impossibility, but is likely to require delivery on strengthened pledges for 2030 followed by challengingly deep and rapid mitigation. Strengthening near-term emissions redns. would hedge against a high climate response or subsequent redn. rates proving economically, tech. or politically unfeasible.
- 20IPCC. Summary for Policy Makers. In Climate change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Pachauri, R. K., Meyer, L. A., Eds.; IPCC: Geneva, Switzerland, 2014; p 151.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 21Davis, S. J.; Lewis, N. S.; Shaner, M.; Aggarwal, S.; Arent, D.; Azevedo, I. L.; Benson, S. M.; Bradley, T.; Brouwer, J.; Chiang, Y.-M.; Clack, C. T. M.; Cohen, A.; Doig, S.; Edmonds, J.; Fennell, P.; Field, C. B.; Hannegan, B.; Hodge, B.-M.; Hoffert, M. I.; Ingersoll, E.; Jaramillo, P.; Lackner, K. S.; Mach, K. J.; Mastrandrea, M.; Ogden, J.; Peterson, F.; Sanchez, D. L.; Sperling, D.; Stagner, J.; Trancik, J. E.; Yang, C. J.; Caldeira, K. Net-Zero Emissions Energy Systems. Science 2018, 360 (6396), eaas9793, DOI: 10.1126/science.aas9793
- 22IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change; Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H. O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, P.R., Pirani, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Péan, C., Pidcock, R., Connors, S., Matthews, J. B. R., Chen, Y., Zhou, X., Gomis, M. I., Lonnoy, E., Maycock, T., Tignor, M., W, T., Eds.; IPCC: Geneva, Switzerland, 2018; p 32.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 23van der Spek, M.; Sutter, D.; Antonini, C.; Mazzotti, M. The Role of Direct Air Capture and Bioenergy in Net Zero CCU Fuel Loops. In International Conference on Negative CO2 Emissions , May 22–24, 2018, Göteborg, Sweden; pp 1– 7.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 24Sternberg, A.; Jens, C. M.; Bardow, A. Life Cycle Assessment of CO2-Based C1-Chemicals. Green Chem. 2017, 19, 2244– 2259, DOI: 10.1039/C6GC02852G[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar24https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXlsVarsL4%253D&md5=8c0aa5c3fe27ebcda1588b46e490f557Life cycle assessment of CO2-based C1-chemicalsSternberg, Andre; Jens, Christian M.; Bardow, AndreGreen Chemistry (2017), 19 (9), 2244-2259CODEN: GRCHFJ; ISSN:1463-9262. (Royal Society of Chemistry)Carbon dioxide (CO2) and hydrogen are promising feedstocks for a sustainable chem. industry. Currently, the conversions of CO2 and hydrogen are most advanced for chems. with 1 carbon atom, the so-called C1-chems., with the first pilot plants in operation. For formic acid, carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane, CO2-based C1-chems. can reduce the impacts of fossil depletion and global warming through the substitution of fossil-based processes. Existing life cycle assessment (LCA) studies for carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane show that a redn. in environmental impacts is achieved if hydrogen is supplied by water electrolysis with renewable electricity. However, in the foreseeable future, renewable electricity will be limited. Thus, from an environmental point of view, renewable electricity should be employed for chem. processes in the order of highest environmental impact redns. Environmental impact redns. are the difference in environmental impacts of fossil-based processes and CO2-based processes. In this study, we compared the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid, carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane. We detd. the redn. of global warming and fossil depletion impacts using 1 kg of hydrogen. Our results show that the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid achieves the highest environmental impact redns., followed by carbon monoxide and methanol. The lowest environmental impact redns. are achieved for CO2-based methane prodn. Our anal. reveals that the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid can reduce environmental impacts, compared to the fossil-based process, even if hydrogen is supplied by fossil-based steam-methane-reforming.
- 25Schüth, F.; Palkovits, R.; Schlögl, R.; Su, D. S. Ammonia as a Possible Element in an Energy Infrastructure: Catalysts for Ammonia Decomposition. Energy Environ. Sci. 2012, 5 (4), 6278– 6289, DOI: 10.1039/C2EE02865D[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar25https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC38XksVKntLY%253D&md5=45932e8e66d59d8c78fee545814168c8Ammonia as a possible element in an energy infrastructure: catalysts for ammonia decompositionSchueth, F.; Palkovits, R.; Schloegl, R.; Su, D. S.Energy & Environmental Science (2012), 5 (4), 6278-6289CODEN: EESNBY; ISSN:1754-5706. (Royal Society of Chemistry)A review. The possible role of ammonia in a future energy infrastructure is discussed. The review is focused on the catalytic decompn. of ammonia as a key step. Other aspects, such as the catalytic removal of ammonia from gasification product gas or direct ammonia fuel cells, are highlighted as well. The more general question of the integration of ammonia in an infrastructure is also covered.
- 26Grinberg Dana, A.; Elishav, O.; Bardow, A.; Shter, G. E.; Grader, G. S. Nitrogen-Based Fuels: A Power-to-Fuel-to-Power Analysis. Angew. Chem., Int. Ed. 2016, 55 (31), 8798– 8805, DOI: 10.1002/anie.201510618[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar26https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC28XpslWltbc%253D&md5=4314c8178ea709ab7a354d88b03e4c2fNitrogen-Based Fuels: A Power-to-Fuel-to-Power AnalysisGrinberg Dana, Alon; Elishav, Oren; Bardow, Andre; Shter, Gennady E.; Grader, Gideon S.Angewandte Chemie, International Edition (2016), 55 (31), 8798-8805CODEN: ACIEF5; ISSN:1433-7851. (Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA)This paper discussed about nitrogen-based fuels and power-to-fuel-to-power anal.
- 27Götz, M.; Lefebvre, J.; Mörs, F.; McDaniel Koch, A.; Graf, F.; Bajohr, S.; Reimert, R.; Kolb, T. Renewable Power-to-Gas: A Technological and Economic Review. Renew. Renewable Energy 2016, 85, 1371– 1390, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066
- 28Sternberg, A.; Bardow, A. Life Cycle Assessment of Power-to-Gas: Syngas vs Methane. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. 2016, 4 (8), 4156– 4165, DOI: 10.1021/acssuschemeng.6b00644[ACS Full Text
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28https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC28XhtVOgt7vP&md5=145319663737c59aec5971e96ca34b99Life Cycle Assessment of Power-to-Gas: Syngas vs MethaneSternberg, Andre; Bardow, AndreACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering (2016), 4 (8), 4156-4165CODEN: ASCECG; ISSN:2168-0485. (American Chemical Society)Power-to-Gas enables the integration of renewable electricity and carbon into the chem. industry. The electricity is used to produce hydrogen, which is subsequently converted with CO2 as the renewable carbon source. The resulting products can be used as feedstock for the chem. industry replacing current fossil-based feedstock. Because the integration of renewable electricity and carbon into the chem. industry is mainly environmentally motivated, we identify the conditions under which Power-to-Gas pathways are environmentally beneficial. The conditions are expressed as environmental threshold values for electricity supply. The threshold values are derived by a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA) of Power-to-Gas pathways to fossil-based processes. We analyze Power-to-Gas pathways to synthetic natural gas (Power-to-SNG) and to syngas (Power-to-Syngas). SNG is produced by the Sabatier reaction; syngas by reverse water gas shift (rWGS) and dry reforming of methane (DRM). The threshold values for electricity supply allow us to compare the environmental benefit of Power-to-SNG and Power-to-Syngas on an equal basis: how well they utilize the currently limited renewable electricity. Syngas prodn. by the DRM process has the largest environmental potential. Both Power-to-Syngas pathways lead to larger environmental benefits than Power-to-SNG making syngas the more desirable product than methane as long as renewable electricity is limited. - 29IEAGHG. CO2 Capture at Gas Fired Power Plants, 2012/8; IEAGHG: Cheltenham, 2012.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 30Wohland, J.; Witthaut, D.; Schleussner, C. F. Negative Emission Potential of Direct Air Capture Powered by Renewable Excess Electricity in Europe. Earth's Future 2018, 6 (10), 1380– 1384, DOI: 10.1029/2018EF000954
- 31US Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy. Fuel Cells. In Fuel Cell Technologies Office Multi-Year Research, Development, and Demonstration Plan; US Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy: Washington D.C., 2017; pp 3.4.1– 3.4.58.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 32Van-Dal, E. S.; Bouallou, C. Design and Simulation of a Methanol Production Plant from CO2 Hydrogenation. J. Cleaner Prod. 2013, 57, 38– 45, DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2013.06.008[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar32https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC3sXhtVKntbvN&md5=3af0bbc79b853cc3e9062b9d60b8eafdDesign and simulation of a methanol production plant from CO2 hydrogenationVan-Dal, Everton Simoes; Bouallou, ChakibJournal of Cleaner Production (2013), 57 (), 38-45CODEN: JCROE8; ISSN:0959-6526. (Elsevier Ltd.)There has been a large increase in anthropogenic emissions of CO2 over the past century. The use of captured CO2 can become a profitable business, in addn. to controlling CO2 concn. in the atm. A process for producing fuel grade methanol from captured CO2 is proposed in this paper. The process is designed and simulated with Aspen Plus. The CO2 is captured by chem. absorption from the flue gases of a thermal power plant. The hydrogen is produced by water electrolysis using carbon-free electricity. The methanol plant provides 36% of the thermal energy required for CO2 capture, reducing considerably the costs of the capture. The CO2 balance of the process showed that it is possible to abate 1.6 t of CO2 per tonne of methanol produced if oxygen byproduct is sold, or 1.2 t if it is not.
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- 34Rashidi, R.; Dincer, I.; Naterer, G. F.; Berg, P. Performance Evaluation of Direct Methanol Fuel Cells for Portable Applications. J. Power Sources 2009, 187 (2), 509– 516, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpowsour.2008.11.044[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar34https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BD1MXht1amu74%253D&md5=957f1eb6362f36953b20a84f1ddcfa1fPerformance evaluation of direct methanol fuel cells for portable applicationsRashidi, R.; Dincer, I.; Naterer, G. F.; Berg, P.Journal of Power Sources (2009), 187 (2), 509-516CODEN: JPSODZ; ISSN:0378-7753. (Elsevier B.V.)This study examines the feasibility of powering a range of portable devices with a direct MeOH fuel cell (DMFC). The anal. includes a comparison between a Li-ion battery and DMFC to supply the power for a lap-top, cam-corder and a cell phone. A parametric study of the systems for an operational period of 4 years is performed. Under the assumptions made for both the Li-ion battery and DMFC system, the battery cost is lower than the DMFC during the 1st year of operation. However, by the end of 4 years of operational time, the DMFC system would cost less. The wt. and cost comparisons show that the fuel cell system occupies less space than the battery to store a higher amt. of energy. The wt. of both systems is almost identical. Finally, the CO2 emissions can be decreased by a higher exergetic efficiency of the DMFC, which leads to improved sustenance.
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Abstract
Figure 1
Figure 1. Representation of possible technology chains yielding linear or circular economies, in a net-positive, net-zero, or net-negative CO2-emission system. (16,23) The representation includes fossil-based systems, CCU-fuel-based systems, and bioenergy-based systems. Process units include conventional postcombustion CO2 capture; direct capture of CO2 from air (DAC, requiring C-free renewable energy to operate); biomass conversion plants; CO2 conversion, including an electrolyzer for H2 generation and a collector of C-free renewable electricity (the stylized yellow spark). Arrows represent material fluxes (equipped with storage capacity) of fossil (from the subsurface, red), synthetic (from a conversion plant, blue), biogenic (from biomass, green), or oxidized (CO2, dark gray) carbon. The ultimate CO2 fate can be either release to the atmosphere (light gray cloud) or storage in the subsurface (stylized anticline aquifer).
Figure 2
Figure 2. Block diagram of the power–fuel–power systems investigated: (a) hydrogen, (b) methane, (c) methanol, and (d) ammonia. The blocks include their corresponding pressure levels, energy efficiency, and second-law (exergy) efficiency, and CO2 capture rate in the case of the power plants. The systems’ cyclic efficiency is given in the upper left corners. The supply of electricity to the fuel synthesis and to the DAC/N2-separation units is not represented in the figure for the sake of clarity. For methanol, the source of the CO2 and H2O emissions is the combustion of a purge stream containing CO2 and CO. In the case of methane, the water is a byproduct of the Sabatier reaction and the CO2 is part of the unreacted feed. These are minor streams but are included in the figure for completeness. The abbreviated fuel-to-power conversion plants are hydrogen solid oxide fuel cell (H2SOFC) and gas turbine combined cycle (GTCC). See Figure 3 for the corresponding power–fuel–propulsion chains.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Block diagram of the four power–fuel–propulsion systems investigated: (a) hydrogen, (b) methane, (c) methanol, and (d) ammonia. The blocks include their corresponding pressure levels, energy efficiency, and second-law (exergy) efficiency and CO2 capture rate in the case of the power plants. The systems’ cyclic efficiency is given in the upper left corners. The supply of electricity to the fuel synthesis and to the DAC/N2-separation units is not represented in the figure for the sake of clarity. The pressure indicated in the final conversion blocks represents the vehicle’s tank. For methanol, the source of the CO2 and H2O emissions is the combustion of a purge stream containing CO2 and CO. In the case of methane, the water is a byproduct of the Sabatier reaction and the CO2 is part of the unreacted feed. These are minor streams but are included in the figure for completeness. The abbreviated fuel-to-propulsion technologies are hydrogen polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell (H2PEMFC), internal combustion engine (ICE), and direct methanol fuel cell (DMFC).
Figure 4
Figure 4. Waterfall diagrams of power–methane–power (a) and power–methanol–propulsion (b).
Figure 5
Figure 5. Breakdown of primary renewable power losses and resulting cycle efficiencies to produce 1 GW of power and/or propulsion (using DAC for the CCU fuel systems). The darkest color represents the relative energy output of each chain. H2 compression occurs only in the hydrogen for propulsion chain, where additional compression is required after electrolysis. “Air separation” indicates the efficiency loss related to DAC for the CCU fuels and to N2 separation for ammonia. “Air separation” and “fuel synthesis” do not occur in the hydrogen chains. Of the chemical energy carriers, hydrogen has the highest cycle efficiency, especially when providing propulsion in a transport application. The biggest losses are incurred in all systems in the electrolysis and fuel combustion steps, not in the fuel synthesis step. For the CCU propulsion cases, these losses are complemented with a large loss for direct air capture of CO2.
Figure 6
Figure 6. Comparison of the second-law efficiency of each system block and of its contribution to the efficiency loss for the power–fuel–power systems. The graph shows that the synthesis step of the synthetic fuels is already highly efficient, as shown by the high second-law efficiency. Fuel synthesis however has only a small impact on the cyclic efficiency loss over the overall system. Electrolysis and fuel combustion in a GTCC (with or without CCS) contribute much more to the overall cyclic efficiency loss, and they still exhibit quite some room for efficiency improvement, especially fuel combustion. DAC shows the highest potential for second-law improvement but has the lowest contribution to the cyclic efficiency loss.
Figure 7
Figure 7. Sensitivity of net system efficiency to changes in electrolysis, DAC/ASU, fuel synthesis, and fuel conversion. The second column from the left indicates how the input parameters were varied, represented on a 0–100% scale where possible. The resulting range of chain efficiencies is reported on the right with the middle line representing the base case. The input parameter assumptions are given as efficiency for electrolysis and final conversion and as an energy requirement for DAC/ASU. For fuel synthesis, see the corresponding text.
References
ARTICLE SECTIONSThis article references 74 other publications.
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- 17Walsh, B.; Ciais, P.; Janssens, I. A.; Peñuelas, J.; Riahi, K.; Rydzak, F.; Van Vuuren, D. P.; Obersteiner, M. Pathways for Balancing CO2 Emissions and Sinks. Nat. Commun. 2017, 8, 14856, DOI: 10.1038/ncomms14856[Crossref], [PubMed], [CAS], Google Scholar17https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXmtFCrur4%253D&md5=934a6f3de282a38c5c430e9440c65e0dPathways for balancing CO2 emissions and sinksWalsh, Brian; Ciais, Philippe; Janssens, Ivan A.; Penuelas, Josep; Riahi, Keywan; Rydzak, Felicjan; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Obersteiner, MichaelNature Communications (2017), 8 (), 14856CODEN: NCAOBW; ISSN:2041-1723. (Nature Publishing Group)In Dec. 2015 in Paris, leaders committed to achieve global, net decarbonization of human activities before 2100. This achievement would halt and even reverse anthropogenic climate change through the net removal of carbon from the atm. However, the Paris documents contain few specific prescriptions for emissions mitigation, leaving various countries to pursue their own agendas. In this anal., we project energy and land-use emissions mitigation pathways through 2100, subject to best-available parameterization of carbon-climate feedbacks and interdependencies. We find that, barring unforeseen and transformative technol. advancement, anthropogenic emissions need to peak within the next 10 years, to maintain realistic pathways to meeting the COP21 emissions and warming targets. Fossil fuel consumption will probably need to be reduced below a quarter of primary energy supply by 2100 and the allowable consumption rate drops even further if neg. emissions technologies remain technol. or economically unfeasible at the global scale.
- 18van Soest, H. L.; de Boer, H. S.; Roelfsema, M.; den Elzen, M. G. J.; Admiraal, A.; van Vuuren, D. P.; Hof, A. F.; van den Berg, M.; Harmsen, M. J. H. M.; Gernaat, D. E. H. J.; Forsell, N. Early Action on Paris Agreement Allows for More Time to Change Energy Systems. Clim. Change 2017, 144 (2), 165– 179, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2027-8[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar18https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXht1CnurbI&md5=6f6ca8a1d2c89a2b089fb7efdf1d88b3Early action on Paris Agreement allows for more time to change energy systemsvan Soest, Heleen L.; Sytze de Boer, Harmen; Roelfsema, Mark; den Elzen, Michel G. J.; Admiraal, Annemiek; van Vuuren, Detlef P.; Hof, Andries F.; van den Berg, Maarten; Harmsen, Mathijs J. H. M.; Gernaat, David E. H. J.; Forsell, NicklasClimatic Change (2017), 144 (2), 165-179CODEN: CLCHDX; ISSN:0165-0009. (Springer)The IMAGE integrated assessment model was used to develop a set of scenarios to evaluate the Nationally Detd. Contributions (NDCs) submitted by Parties under the Paris Agreement. The scenarios project emissions and energy system changes under (i) current policies, (ii) implementation of the NDCs, and (iii) various trajectories to a radiative forcing level of 2.8 W/m2 in 2100, which gives a probability of about two thirds to limit warming to below 2 °C. The scenarios show that a cost-optimal pathway from 2020 onwards towards 2.8 W/m2 leads to a global greenhouse gas emission level of 38 gigatonne CO2 equivalent (GtCO2eq) by 2030, equal to a redn. of 20% compared to the 2010 level. The NDCs are projected to lead to 2030 emission levels of 50 GtCO2eq, which is still an increase compared to the 2010 level. A scenario that achieves the 2.8 W/m2 forcing level in 2100 from the 2030 NDC level requires more rapid transitions after 2030 to meet the forcing target. It shows an annual redn. rate in greenhouse gas emissions of 4.7% between 2030 and 2050, rapidly phasing out unabated coal-fired power plant capacity, more rapid scale-up of low-carbon energy, and higher mitigation costs. A bridge scenario shows that enhancing the ambition level of NDCs before 2030 allows for a smoother energy system transition, with av. annual emission redn. rates of 4.5% between 2030 and 2050, and more time to phase out coal capacity.
- 19Millar, R. J.; Fuglestvedt, J. S.; Friedlingstein, P.; Rogelj, J.; Grubb, M. J.; Matthews, H. D.; Skeie, R. B.; Forster, P. M.; Frame, D. J.; Allen, M. R. Emission Budgets and Pathways Consistent with Limiting Warming to 1.5 °C. Nat. Geosci. 2017, 10, 741– 748, DOI: 10.1038/ngeo3031[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar19https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXhsFWgtLrP&md5=e4149699fa76ccce22165c53c255f0b9Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°CMillar, Richard J.; Fuglestvedt, Jan S.; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Rogelj, Joeri; Grubb, Michael J.; Matthews, H. Damon; Skeie, Ragnhild B.; Forster, Piers M.; Frame, David J.; Allen, Myles R.Nature Geoscience (2017), 10 (10), 741-747CODEN: NGAEBU; ISSN:1752-0894. (Nature Research)The Paris Agreement has opened debate on whether limiting warming to 1.5°C is compatible with current emission pledges and warming of about 0.9°C from the mid-nineteenth century to the present decade. We show that limiting cumulative post-2015 CO2 emissions to about 200 GtC would limit post-2015 warming to less than 0.6°C in 66% of Earth system model members of the CMIP5 ensemble with no mitigation of other climate drivers, increasing to 240 GtC with ambitious non-CO2 mitigation. Assuming emissions peak and decline to below current levels by 2030, and continue thereafter on a much steeper decline, which would be historically unprecedented but consistent with a std. ambitious mitigation scenario (RCP2.6), results in a likely range of peak warming of 1.2-2.0°C above the mid-nineteenth century. If CO2 emissions are continuously adjusted over time to limit 2100 warming to 1.5°C, with ambitious non-CO2 mitigation, net future cumulative CO2 emissions are unlikely to prove less than 250 GtC and unlikely greater than 540 GtC. Hence, limiting warming to 1.5°C is not yet a geophys. impossibility, but is likely to require delivery on strengthened pledges for 2030 followed by challengingly deep and rapid mitigation. Strengthening near-term emissions redns. would hedge against a high climate response or subsequent redn. rates proving economically, tech. or politically unfeasible.
- 20IPCC. Summary for Policy Makers. In Climate change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Pachauri, R. K., Meyer, L. A., Eds.; IPCC: Geneva, Switzerland, 2014; p 151.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 21Davis, S. J.; Lewis, N. S.; Shaner, M.; Aggarwal, S.; Arent, D.; Azevedo, I. L.; Benson, S. M.; Bradley, T.; Brouwer, J.; Chiang, Y.-M.; Clack, C. T. M.; Cohen, A.; Doig, S.; Edmonds, J.; Fennell, P.; Field, C. B.; Hannegan, B.; Hodge, B.-M.; Hoffert, M. I.; Ingersoll, E.; Jaramillo, P.; Lackner, K. S.; Mach, K. J.; Mastrandrea, M.; Ogden, J.; Peterson, F.; Sanchez, D. L.; Sperling, D.; Stagner, J.; Trancik, J. E.; Yang, C. J.; Caldeira, K. Net-Zero Emissions Energy Systems. Science 2018, 360 (6396), eaas9793, DOI: 10.1126/science.aas9793
- 22IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Global warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change; Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pörtner, H. O., Roberts, D., Skea, J., Shukla, P.R., Pirani, A., Moufouma-Okia, W., Péan, C., Pidcock, R., Connors, S., Matthews, J. B. R., Chen, Y., Zhou, X., Gomis, M. I., Lonnoy, E., Maycock, T., Tignor, M., W, T., Eds.; IPCC: Geneva, Switzerland, 2018; p 32.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 23van der Spek, M.; Sutter, D.; Antonini, C.; Mazzotti, M. The Role of Direct Air Capture and Bioenergy in Net Zero CCU Fuel Loops. In International Conference on Negative CO2 Emissions , May 22–24, 2018, Göteborg, Sweden; pp 1– 7.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
- 24Sternberg, A.; Jens, C. M.; Bardow, A. Life Cycle Assessment of CO2-Based C1-Chemicals. Green Chem. 2017, 19, 2244– 2259, DOI: 10.1039/C6GC02852G[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar24https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC2sXlsVarsL4%253D&md5=8c0aa5c3fe27ebcda1588b46e490f557Life cycle assessment of CO2-based C1-chemicalsSternberg, Andre; Jens, Christian M.; Bardow, AndreGreen Chemistry (2017), 19 (9), 2244-2259CODEN: GRCHFJ; ISSN:1463-9262. (Royal Society of Chemistry)Carbon dioxide (CO2) and hydrogen are promising feedstocks for a sustainable chem. industry. Currently, the conversions of CO2 and hydrogen are most advanced for chems. with 1 carbon atom, the so-called C1-chems., with the first pilot plants in operation. For formic acid, carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane, CO2-based C1-chems. can reduce the impacts of fossil depletion and global warming through the substitution of fossil-based processes. Existing life cycle assessment (LCA) studies for carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane show that a redn. in environmental impacts is achieved if hydrogen is supplied by water electrolysis with renewable electricity. However, in the foreseeable future, renewable electricity will be limited. Thus, from an environmental point of view, renewable electricity should be employed for chem. processes in the order of highest environmental impact redns. Environmental impact redns. are the difference in environmental impacts of fossil-based processes and CO2-based processes. In this study, we compared the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid, carbon monoxide, methanol, and methane. We detd. the redn. of global warming and fossil depletion impacts using 1 kg of hydrogen. Our results show that the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid achieves the highest environmental impact redns., followed by carbon monoxide and methanol. The lowest environmental impact redns. are achieved for CO2-based methane prodn. Our anal. reveals that the CO2-based prodn. of formic acid can reduce environmental impacts, compared to the fossil-based process, even if hydrogen is supplied by fossil-based steam-methane-reforming.
- 25Schüth, F.; Palkovits, R.; Schlögl, R.; Su, D. S. Ammonia as a Possible Element in an Energy Infrastructure: Catalysts for Ammonia Decomposition. Energy Environ. Sci. 2012, 5 (4), 6278– 6289, DOI: 10.1039/C2EE02865D[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar25https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC38XksVKntLY%253D&md5=45932e8e66d59d8c78fee545814168c8Ammonia as a possible element in an energy infrastructure: catalysts for ammonia decompositionSchueth, F.; Palkovits, R.; Schloegl, R.; Su, D. S.Energy & Environmental Science (2012), 5 (4), 6278-6289CODEN: EESNBY; ISSN:1754-5706. (Royal Society of Chemistry)A review. The possible role of ammonia in a future energy infrastructure is discussed. The review is focused on the catalytic decompn. of ammonia as a key step. Other aspects, such as the catalytic removal of ammonia from gasification product gas or direct ammonia fuel cells, are highlighted as well. The more general question of the integration of ammonia in an infrastructure is also covered.
- 26Grinberg Dana, A.; Elishav, O.; Bardow, A.; Shter, G. E.; Grader, G. S. Nitrogen-Based Fuels: A Power-to-Fuel-to-Power Analysis. Angew. Chem., Int. Ed. 2016, 55 (31), 8798– 8805, DOI: 10.1002/anie.201510618[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar26https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC28XpslWltbc%253D&md5=4314c8178ea709ab7a354d88b03e4c2fNitrogen-Based Fuels: A Power-to-Fuel-to-Power AnalysisGrinberg Dana, Alon; Elishav, Oren; Bardow, Andre; Shter, Gennady E.; Grader, Gideon S.Angewandte Chemie, International Edition (2016), 55 (31), 8798-8805CODEN: ACIEF5; ISSN:1433-7851. (Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA)This paper discussed about nitrogen-based fuels and power-to-fuel-to-power anal.
- 27Götz, M.; Lefebvre, J.; Mörs, F.; McDaniel Koch, A.; Graf, F.; Bajohr, S.; Reimert, R.; Kolb, T. Renewable Power-to-Gas: A Technological and Economic Review. Renew. Renewable Energy 2016, 85, 1371– 1390, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066
- 28Sternberg, A.; Bardow, A. Life Cycle Assessment of Power-to-Gas: Syngas vs Methane. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. 2016, 4 (8), 4156– 4165, DOI: 10.1021/acssuschemeng.6b00644[ACS Full Text
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28https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC28XhtVOgt7vP&md5=145319663737c59aec5971e96ca34b99Life Cycle Assessment of Power-to-Gas: Syngas vs MethaneSternberg, Andre; Bardow, AndreACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering (2016), 4 (8), 4156-4165CODEN: ASCECG; ISSN:2168-0485. (American Chemical Society)Power-to-Gas enables the integration of renewable electricity and carbon into the chem. industry. The electricity is used to produce hydrogen, which is subsequently converted with CO2 as the renewable carbon source. The resulting products can be used as feedstock for the chem. industry replacing current fossil-based feedstock. Because the integration of renewable electricity and carbon into the chem. industry is mainly environmentally motivated, we identify the conditions under which Power-to-Gas pathways are environmentally beneficial. The conditions are expressed as environmental threshold values for electricity supply. The threshold values are derived by a comparative life cycle assessment (LCA) of Power-to-Gas pathways to fossil-based processes. We analyze Power-to-Gas pathways to synthetic natural gas (Power-to-SNG) and to syngas (Power-to-Syngas). SNG is produced by the Sabatier reaction; syngas by reverse water gas shift (rWGS) and dry reforming of methane (DRM). The threshold values for electricity supply allow us to compare the environmental benefit of Power-to-SNG and Power-to-Syngas on an equal basis: how well they utilize the currently limited renewable electricity. Syngas prodn. by the DRM process has the largest environmental potential. Both Power-to-Syngas pathways lead to larger environmental benefits than Power-to-SNG making syngas the more desirable product than methane as long as renewable electricity is limited. - 29IEAGHG. CO2 Capture at Gas Fired Power Plants, 2012/8; IEAGHG: Cheltenham, 2012.Google ScholarThere is no corresponding record for this reference.
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- 32Van-Dal, E. S.; Bouallou, C. Design and Simulation of a Methanol Production Plant from CO2 Hydrogenation. J. Cleaner Prod. 2013, 57, 38– 45, DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2013.06.008[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar32https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC3sXhtVKntbvN&md5=3af0bbc79b853cc3e9062b9d60b8eafdDesign and simulation of a methanol production plant from CO2 hydrogenationVan-Dal, Everton Simoes; Bouallou, ChakibJournal of Cleaner Production (2013), 57 (), 38-45CODEN: JCROE8; ISSN:0959-6526. (Elsevier Ltd.)There has been a large increase in anthropogenic emissions of CO2 over the past century. The use of captured CO2 can become a profitable business, in addn. to controlling CO2 concn. in the atm. A process for producing fuel grade methanol from captured CO2 is proposed in this paper. The process is designed and simulated with Aspen Plus. The CO2 is captured by chem. absorption from the flue gases of a thermal power plant. The hydrogen is produced by water electrolysis using carbon-free electricity. The methanol plant provides 36% of the thermal energy required for CO2 capture, reducing considerably the costs of the capture. The CO2 balance of the process showed that it is possible to abate 1.6 t of CO2 per tonne of methanol produced if oxygen byproduct is sold, or 1.2 t if it is not.
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- 34Rashidi, R.; Dincer, I.; Naterer, G. F.; Berg, P. Performance Evaluation of Direct Methanol Fuel Cells for Portable Applications. J. Power Sources 2009, 187 (2), 509– 516, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpowsour.2008.11.044[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar34https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BD1MXht1amu74%253D&md5=957f1eb6362f36953b20a84f1ddcfa1fPerformance evaluation of direct methanol fuel cells for portable applicationsRashidi, R.; Dincer, I.; Naterer, G. F.; Berg, P.Journal of Power Sources (2009), 187 (2), 509-516CODEN: JPSODZ; ISSN:0378-7753. (Elsevier B.V.)This study examines the feasibility of powering a range of portable devices with a direct MeOH fuel cell (DMFC). The anal. includes a comparison between a Li-ion battery and DMFC to supply the power for a lap-top, cam-corder and a cell phone. A parametric study of the systems for an operational period of 4 years is performed. Under the assumptions made for both the Li-ion battery and DMFC system, the battery cost is lower than the DMFC during the 1st year of operation. However, by the end of 4 years of operational time, the DMFC system would cost less. The wt. and cost comparisons show that the fuel cell system occupies less space than the battery to store a higher amt. of energy. The wt. of both systems is almost identical. Finally, the CO2 emissions can be decreased by a higher exergetic efficiency of the DMFC, which leads to improved sustenance.
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- 43Peters, R.; Deja, R.; Engelbracht, M.; Frank, M.; Nguyen, V. N.; Blum, L.; Stolten, D. Efficiency Analysis of a Hydrogen-Fueled Solid Oxide Fuel Cell System with Anode off-Gas Recirculation. J. Power Sources 2016, 328, 105– 113, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpowsour.2016.08.002[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar43https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC28XhtlSlt7vO&md5=0e1d1c34e3fac15c99fc96d8178f787cEfficiency analysis of a hydrogen-fueled solid oxide fuel cell system with anode off-gas recirculationPeters, Roland; Deja, Robert; Engelbracht, Maximilian; Frank, Matthias; Nguyen, Van Nhu; Blum, Ludger; Stolten, DetlefJournal of Power Sources (2016), 328 (), 105-113CODEN: JPSODZ; ISSN:0378-7753. (Elsevier B.V.)This study analyzes different H-fueled solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) system layouts. It begins with a simple system layout without any anode off-gas recirculation, continues with a configuration equipped with off-gas recirculation, including steam condensation and then considers a layout with a dead-end anode off-gas loop. Operational parameters such as stack fuel use, as well as the recirculation rate, are modified, with the aim of achieving the highest efficiency values. Drawing on expts. and the accumulated experience of the SOFC group at the Forschungszentrum Julich, a set of operational parameters were defined and applied to the simulations. Anode off-gas recirculation, including steam condensation, improves elec. efficiency by up to 11.9 percentage-points compared to a layout without recirculation of the same stack fuel use. A system layout with a dead-end anode off-gas loop also is capable of reaching elec. efficiencies of >61%.
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- 46Müller, B.; Müller, K.; Teichmann, D.; Arlt, W. Energiespeicherung mittels Methan und energietragenden Stoffen Ein thermodynamischer Vergleich. Chem. Ing. Tech. 2011, 83 (11), 2002– 2013, DOI: 10.1002/cite.201100113[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar46https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC3MXhsVWktbfL&md5=6ace6ca35832de44db09f4284030dc25Energy Storage by CO2 Methanation and Energy-Providing Compounds: A Thermodynamic ComparisonMueller, Benjamin; Mueller, Karsten; Teichmann, Daniel; Arlt, WolfgangChemie Ingenieur Technik (2011), 83 (11), 2002-2013CODEN: CITEAH; ISSN:0009-286X. (Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA)Reconstructing current energy infrastructures dominated by fossil fuels towards a high share of renewable energy requires a drastic extension of energy storage capacities. Common storage technologies like compressed air or pumped water are either limited in capacity or have low efficiencies. A promising alternative is proposed with the use of energy carrying compds. for hydrogen storage. This route is shown to offer the possibility to combine high process chain efficiency with lossless energy storage for stationary and mobile applications. In this article, efficiencies for energy storage by methane and N-ethylcarbazole, and energy transport substances are calcd. and compared to each other.
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- 51Koenigsmann, C.; Wong, S. S. One-Dimensional Noble Metal Electrocatalysts: A Promising Structural Paradigm for Direct Methanolfuelcells. Energy Environ. Sci. 2011, 4 (4), 1161– 1176, DOI: 10.1039/C0EE00197J[Crossref], [CAS], Google Scholar51https://chemport.cas.org/services/resolver?origin=ACS&resolution=options&coi=1%3ACAS%3A528%3ADC%252BC3MXms1Wit78%253D&md5=98f619715baccbd682782915a0a9acbfOne-dimensional noble metal electrocatalysts: a promising structural paradigm for direct methanol fuel cellsKoenigsmann, Christopher; Wong, Stanislaus S.Energy & Environmental Science (2011), 4 (4), 1161-1176CODEN: EESNBY; ISSN:1754-5706. (Royal Society of Chemistry)In this perspective, the catalytic shortfalls of contemporary DMFCs are discussed in the context of the materials that are currently being employed as electrocatalysts in both the anode and cathode. In light of these shortfalls, the inherent advantages of one-dimensional (1D) nanostructures are highlighted so as to demonstrate their potential as efficient, robust, and active replacements for contemporary nanoparticulate electrocatalysts. Finally, we review in detail the recent applications of 1D nanostructured electrocatalysts as both anodes and cathodes, and explore their potentially promising results towards improving DMFC efficiency and cost-effectiveness. In the case of cathode electrocatalysts, our group has recently prepd. both 200 nm platinum nanotubes and ultrathin 2 nm platinum nanowires, which evinced two-fold and seven-fold enhancements in area specific ORR activity, resp., as compared with contemporary com. Pt nanoparticles. Similarly, the development of one-dimensional anodic electrocatalysts such as alloyed PtRu and PtCo nanowires, hierarchical Pt∼Pd nanowires, and segmented PtRu systems have yielded promising enhancements towards methanol oxidn.
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ARTICLE SECTIONSThe Supporting Information is available free of charge on the ACS Publications website at DOI: 10.1021/acs.iecr.9b00880.
Additional remarks about the second-law efficiency analysis; waterfall diagrams of the power–methanol–power, power–ammonia–power, power–methane–propulsion, and power–ammonia–propulsion systems (PDF)
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