ACS Publications. Most Trusted. Most Cited. Most Read

OR SEARCH CITATIONS

My Activity
Publications
CONTENT TYPES

Figure 1Loading Img
Download Hi-Res ImageDownload to MS-PowerPointCite This:Environ. Sci. Technol. 2019, 53, 17, 10417-10425
RETURN TO ISSUEPREVArticleNEXT

Demand-Driven Model for Global Phosphate Rock Suggests Paths for Phosphorus Sustainability

  • David A. Vaccari*
    David A. Vaccari
    Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken 07030, New Jersey, United States
    *E-mail: [email protected]. Tel.: 201-216-5570. http://personal.stevens.edu/~dvaccari.
    More by David A. Vaccari
    Orcidhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-8104-8633
  • , 
  • Stephen M. Powers
    Stephen M. Powers
    Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6610, United States
    More by Stephen M. Powers
  • , and 
  • Xin Liu
    Xin Liu
    School of the Environment, Nanjing University Lishui Institute of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing 212200, China
    More by Xin Liu
Cite this: Environ. Sci. Technol. 2019, 53, 17, 10417–10425
Publication Date (Web):August 8, 2019
https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b02464
Copyright © 2019 American Chemical Society
Request reuse permissions

    Article Views

    1427

    Altmetric

    -

    Citations

    40
    LEARN ABOUT THESE METRICS
    Read OnlinePDF (1 MB)
    Get e-Alerts
    Supporting Info (2)»
    SUBJECTS:

    Abstract

    Abstract Image

    Phosphorus is required as a fertilizer for producing food, and there is no substitute. Losses between mine production and diet result in significant environmental harm. We used a demand-driven substance flow model to explore the sensitivity of global phosphorus production to interventions of the food system including: reduction in animal fraction in the diet (AFD); manure use efficiency (MUE); animal food yield (YA); phosphorus use efficiency (PUE); the fraction of food that is wasted (FWF); the fraction of food waste recycled (FRE); and the fraction of human waste recycled (WRE). The model indicated that AFD and YA are the most influential interventions, and they interact with PUE and MUE. Furthermore, there is a minimum in AFD and YA below which it becomes necessary to increase mining. Another result is that reducing food waste is about 80 times more effective than recycling food waste in reducing P demand. Finally, the model was used to explore the global carrying capacity for humans on the basis of P sources other than mining. These sources may satisfy P requirements for as many as 2.5 billion people. If significant improvements were made in all of the considered interventions simultaneously, as many as 14.7 billion people could be sustained.

    Supporting Information

    ARTICLE SECTIONS
    Jump To

    The Supporting Information is available free of charge on the ACS Publications website at DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.9b02464.

    • Introduction, model development and assumptions; results and discussion; references; additional Tables and Figures (PDF)

    • Excel file with the complete model used in this work (XLSX)

    Terms & Conditions

    Most electronic Supporting Information files are available without a subscription to ACS Web Editions. Such files may be downloaded by article for research use (if there is a public use license linked to the relevant article, that license may permit other uses). Permission may be obtained from ACS for other uses through requests via the RightsLink permission system: http://pubs.acs.org/page/copyright/permissions.html.

    Cited By

    This article is cited by 40 publications.

    1. Junna Yan, Mengyu Ma, Keyi Liu, Yang Bao, Feihu Li. Anchoring NH2-MIL-101(Fe/Ce) within Melamine Sponge Boosts Rapid Adsorption and Recovery of Phosphate from Water. ACS ES&T Engineering 2023, 3 (4) , 467-478. https://doi.org/10.1021/acsestengg.2c00324
    2. Xinfei Ge, Lijun Wang, Wenjun Zhang. Direct Observation of Alginate-Promoted Soil Phosphorus Availability. ACS Sustainable Chemistry & Engineering 2022, 10 (24) , 8011-8021. https://doi.org/10.1021/acssuschemeng.2c01864
    3. Xinfei Ge, Lijun Wang, Wenjun Zhang, Christine V. Putnis. Molecular Understanding of Humic Acid-Limited Phosphate Precipitation and Transformation. Environmental Science & Technology 2020, 54 (1) , 207-215. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b05145
    4. Jiawen Xie, Xingchen Zhuge, Xixi Liu, Qian Zhang, Yiwen Liu, Peizhe Sun, Yingxin Zhao, Yindong Tong. Environmental sustainability opportunity and socio-economic cost analyses of phosphorus recovery from sewage sludge. Environmental Science and Ecotechnology 2023, 16 , 100258. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ese.2023.100258
    5. Junna Yan, Mengyu Ma, Bo Zhao, Feihu Li. Phosphate recovery from wastewater by rapid adsorption-desorption enrichment over UiO-66@melamine sponge composites. Journal of Water Process Engineering 2023, 55 , 104253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwpe.2023.104253
    6. Olga Tammeorg, Ingrid Chorus, Bryan Spears, Peeter Nõges, Gertrud K. Nürnberg, Priit Tammeorg, Martin Søndergaard, Erik Jeppesen, Hans Paerl, Brian Huser, Jukka Horppila, Tom Jilbert, Agnieszka Budzyńska, Renata Dondajewska‐Pielka, Ryszard Gołdyn, Sina Haasler, Seppo Hellsten, Laura H. Härkönen, Mina Kiani, Anna Kozak, Niina Kotamäki, Katarzyna Kowalczewska‐Madura, Silvia Newell, Leena Nurminen, Tiina Nõges, Kasper Reitzel, Joanna Rosińska, Jukka Ruuhijärvi, Soila Silvonen, Christian Skov, Tamara Važić, Anne‐Mari Ventelä, Guido Waajen, Miquel Lürling. Sustainable lake restoration: From challenges to solutions. WIREs Water 2023, 52 https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1689
    7. Zijun Xie, Bo Sun, Hongying Lin, Meng Fu, Yi Zhang, Zequn Ma, Xiangming Li. Bifunctional reduced graphene oxide/polyelectrolyte/NiFe layered double hydroxide composites for efficient catalyzed dephosphorylation and 4-nitrophenol reduction. Journal of Water Process Engineering 2023, 53 , 103624. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwpe.2023.103624
    8. Yuran Chen, Minpeng Chen. Evolution of the global phosphorus trade network: A production perspective on resilience. Journal of Cleaner Production 2023, 405 , 136843. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.136843
    9. Zhuangzhuang Chu, Wei Wang, Mengping Yin, Zhuohong Yang. Zirconium Component Modified Porous Nanowood for Efficient Removal of Phosphate from Aqueous Solutions. Nanomaterials 2023, 13 (11) , 1807. https://doi.org/10.3390/nano13111807
    10. Cong Zhao, Yao Li, Yin Pang, Daoping Peng, Tao Huang, Jiannan Chen. Red mud as a magnesium carrier for enhanced N and P recovery from wastewater by the struvite method. Environmental Technology & Innovation 2023, 30 , 103030. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103030
    11. Minh T. Vu, Hung C. Duong, Qilin Wang, Ashley Ansari, Zhengqing Cai, Ngoc Bich Hoang, Long D. Nghiem. Recent technological developments and challenges for phosphorus removal and recovery toward a circular economy. Environmental Technology & Innovation 2023, 30 , 103114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2023.103114
    12. L.D. Danny Harvey. Savings in fertilizer requirements from plant-based diets. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 2023, 190 , 106820. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106820
    13. Khaoula Houssini, Yong Geng, Jing-Yu Liu, Xianlai Zeng, Simon V. Hohl. Measuring anthropogenic phosphorus cycles to promote resource recovery and circularity in Morocco. Resources Policy 2023, 81 , 103415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103415
    14. Ling-ling Lai, Chao Liu, Meng-yu Liu, Si-zhuo Wan, Zhi-guo Zhao, Ru Wang, Lin-jiang Yuan. Condition optimization of iron-air fuel cell to treat phosphate-containing wastewater regarding sustainable development. Chemosphere 2023, 313 , 137507. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.137507
    15. Xiaofeng Xu, Qiuyun Xu, Zexuan Du, Li Gu, Cong Chen, Xiaoliu Huangfu, Dezhi Shi. Enhanced phosphorus release from waste activated sludge using ascorbic acid reduction and acid dissolution. Water Research 2023, 229 , 119476. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.119476
    16. Xuewei Liu, You Zhang, Mingjin Cheng, Songyan Jiang, Zengwei Yuan. Recycling phosphorus from waste in China: Recycling methods and their environmental and resource consequences. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 2023, 188 , 106669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106669
    17. Shiyu Xie, Huu-Tuan Tran, Mingjun Pu, Tao Zhang. Transformation characteristics of organic matter and phosphorus in composting processes of agricultural organic waste: Research trends. Materials Science for Energy Technologies 2023, 6 , 331-342. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mset.2023.02.006
    18. Xujie Liao, Jiakun Yan, Jionghao Chen, Zhenyu Huang, Tianshuai Xiao, Changqing Li, Chong Pan, Xin Yang, Yanli Liu, Thomas D. Crenshaw, Xiaojun Yang, Zhouzheng Ren. A simple daily dynamic feeding regimen for reducing phosphorus consumption and excretion in laying hens. Animal Nutrition 2022, 11 , 132-141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aninu.2022.07.003
    19. Leandro Israel da Silva, Indira Pereira de Oliveira, Ederson da Conceição Jesus, Marlon Corrêa Pereira, Moacir Pasqual, Ronilson Carlos de Araújo, Joyce Dória. Fertilizer of the Future: Beneficial Bacteria Promote Strawberry Growth and Yield and May Reduce the Need for Chemical Fertilizer. Agronomy 2022, 12 (10) , 2465. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy12102465
    20. Xiaoyuan Zheng, Zhi Ying, Yuheng Feng, Bo Wang, Binlin Dou. CaO-assisted hydrothermal treatment combined with incineration of sewage sludge: Focusing on phosphorus (P) fractions, P-bioavailability, and heavy metals behaviors. Chemosphere 2022, 226 , 136391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.136391
    21. Yanyan Ding, Xiaohu Dai, Boran Wu, Zhigang Liu, Lingling Dai. Targeted clean extraction of phosphorus from waste activated sludge: From a new perspective of phosphorus occurrence states to an innovative approach through acidic cation exchange resin. Water Research 2022, 215 , 118190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.118190
    22. Wentao Ji, Shiyu Yan, Keqiang Xie, Xiaolei Yuan, Zhixiang Wang, Yang Li. A clean process for phosphorus recovery and gallium enrichment from phosphorus flue dust by sodium carbonate roasting. Journal of Hazardous Materials 2022, 424 , 127580. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhazmat.2021.127580
    23. Yindong Tong, Jingjing Sun, Minhaz Uddin, Xiangzhen Kong, Yan Lin, Mengzhu Wang, Hefeng Zhang, Xiwen Xu, Zhenyu Wu. Perspectives and challenges of applying the water-food-energy nexus approach to lake eutrophication modelling. Water Security 2021, 14 , 100095. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100095
    24. Chu-Long Huang, Weifeng Kang, Su Xu, Bing Gao, Wei Huang, Zirong Li, Shenghui Cui. Growing phosphorus dilemma: The opportunity from aquatic systems' secondary phosphorus retention capacity. Science of The Total Environment 2021, 796 , 148938. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148938
    25. Persephone Ma, Carl Rosen. Land application of sewage sludge incinerator ash for phosphorus recovery: A review. Chemosphere 2021, 274 , 129609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemosphere.2021.129609
    26. Qingqing Li, Chuanxin Ma, Jason C. White, Baoshan Xing. Effects of Phosphorus Ensembled Nanomaterials on Nutrient Uptake and Distribution in Glycine max L. under Simulated Precipitation. Agronomy 2021, 11 (6) , 1086. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11061086
    27. Hamid El Bilali, Carola Strassner, Tarek Ben Hassen. Sustainable Agri-Food Systems: Environment, Economy, Society, and Policy. Sustainability 2021, 13 (11) , 6260. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13116260
    28. Bingxian Peng, Xinrui Li, Sulin Xiang, Linyan Lei, Mengqi Yang, Lei Zhu, Yang Qi. Release behavior of iodine during leaching and calcination of phosphate rock. Environmental Science and Pollution Research 2021, 28 (24) , 31059-31070. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-12895-w
    29. Fan Yang, Chunyu Tang, Markus Antonietti. Natural and artificial humic substances to manage minerals, ions, water, and soil microorganisms. Chemical Society Reviews 2021, 50 (10) , 6221-6239. https://doi.org/10.1039/D0CS01363C
    30. Le Fang, Qiming Wang, Jiang-shan Li, Chi Sun Poon, C. R. Cheeseman, Shane Donatello, Daniel C. W. Tsang. Feasibility of wet-extraction of phosphorus from incinerated sewage sludge ash (ISSA) for phosphate fertilizer production: A critical review. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology 2021, 51 (9) , 939-971. https://doi.org/10.1080/10643389.2020.1740545
    31. Rabia Abdur Rehman, Muhammad Farooq Qayyum, Ghulam Haider, Kate Schofield, Muhammad Abid, Muhammad Rizwan, Shafaqat Ali. The Sewage Sludge Biochar and Its Composts Influence the Phosphate Sorption in an Alkaline–Calcareous Soil. Sustainability 2021, 13 (4) , 1779. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13041779
    32. Sebastián Pérez, Juan Muñoz-Saldaña, Nancy Acelas, Elizabeth Flórez. Phosphate removal from aqueous solutions by heat treatment of eggshell and palm fiber. Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering 2021, 9 (1) , 104684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jece.2020.104684
    33. Wang Yan, Yun Chen, Nan Shen, Guoxiang Wang, Junfeng Wan, Jinjin Huang. The influence of a stepwise pH increase on volatile fatty acids production and phosphorus release during Al-waste activated sludge fermentation. Bioresource Technology 2021, 320 , 124276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biortech.2020.124276
    34. Teresa Cecchi. Biocascading: Platform Molecules, Value Added Chemicals, and Bioactives. 2021, 169-229. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63436-0_5
    35. S.A. Rothwell, D.G. Doody, C. Johnston, K.J. Forber, O. Cencic, H. Rechberger, P.J.A. Withers. Phosphorus stocks and flows in an intensive livestock dominated food system. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 2020, 163 , 105065. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105065
    36. Junhui Xiao, Chao Chen, Wei Ding, Yang Peng, Tao Chen, Kai Zou. Extraction of Phosphorous from a Phosphorous-Containing Vanadium Titano-Magnetite Tailings by Direct Flotation. Processes 2020, 8 (7) , 874. https://doi.org/10.3390/pr8070874
    37. David A. Vaccari. Resilience of phosphorus cycling. Nature Food 2020, 1 (6) , 329-329. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-0103-0
    38. William Toffey, Sally Brown. Biosolids and ecosystem services: Making the connection explicit. Current Opinion in Environmental Science & Health 2020, 14 , 51-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coesh.2020.02.002
    39. Zhouzheng Ren, Jiakun Yan, Qianli Hu, Xinshuai Liu, Chong Pan, Yanli Liu, Xiaozhen Zhang, Xin Yang, Xiaojun Yang. Phosphorus Restriction Changes the Expression of Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 and Its Receptors in Laying Hens. Frontiers in Physiology 2020, 11 https://doi.org/10.3389/fphys.2020.00085
    40. Jacob L. Jones, Yaroslava G. Yingling, Ian M. Reaney, Paul Westerhoff. Materials matter in phosphorus sustainability. MRS Bulletin 2020, 45 (1) , 7-10. https://doi.org/10.1557/mrs.2020.4
    Download PDF

    Pair your accounts.

    Export articles to Mendeley

    Get article recommendations from ACS based on references in your Mendeley library.

    Pair your accounts.

    Export articles to Mendeley

    Get article recommendations from ACS based on references in your Mendeley library.

    You’ve supercharged your research process with ACS and Mendeley!

    STEP 1:
    Click to create an ACS ID

    Please note: If you switch to a different device, you may be asked to login again with only your ACS ID.

    Please note: If you switch to a different device, you may be asked to login again with only your ACS ID.

    Please note: If you switch to a different device, you may be asked to login again with only your ACS ID.

    MENDELEY PAIRING EXPIRED
    Your Mendeley pairing has expired. Please reconnect